Maturity timing outweighs training
Two 13-year-old boys can be four years apart biologically. The early maturer carries more muscle, longer levers, and a hormonal advantage that no amount of coaching closes. He wins now. Whether he still wins at seventeen depends on whether the late maturer keeps showing up, and a lot of them quit before finding out. Field events sort the same way at this age, which the 13-year-old long jump ranges make plain.

